CFL Week 7

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Last week's board was much better than this week. You always like it when two of the three elite teams play each other, and the other is on the road. But when you have elite teams at home to any of the 5 weak teams, you are going to get big spreads that are hard to figure out.


6pt Teaser: BC Lions +14.5 & Montreal Alouettes -1 (-110) -- 1 unit: So for the first time this year, and something that will definitely not become a trend, I will tease the CFL. I'm not a Jarious Jackson fan, but he does certain things that should keep this game close. First, if he does turn the ball over, it's not likely to come back for 7... it's more likely to be a 50 yard pass downfield, or he'll just throw the ball away. Jackson also has enough faith in guys like Geroy and P. Jackson to throw the ball up and let them do the work (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCV-66f2Vjg). Against arguably the worst secondary in the league, this isn't a bad strategy. As Powerz said, the Lions managed to keep Durant and Cates in check in their first meeting. With the Lions holding a very underrated secondary they should hopefully be able to keep the game close. Reasons I like Montreal are outlined in my other play.

Montreal Alouettes -7 (-110): 1 unit: On paper, it looks to be a solid matchup between two teams separated by only one win. But c'mon, let's be serious here, this is a lop sided matchup. We can start with the first game between the two, when Calvillo was 30/36 for 394 yards in what was a laugher. Montreal is a pass first team, one of the best in the league, against a secondary that has been torched time and time again for a lot of yardage. Yes, Toronto has shown the ability to make the big play on defence, but that's not against a veteran like Anthony Calvillo. The other mismatch is Toronto's running game against Montreal's run defence. Toronto is a run first team, but they are going up against arguably the best run defence in the league. This will force Cleo Lemon to put the ball up in the air, and you better believe Montreal has watched game tape from last week... where it seemed like half of Lemon's yardage was on the play action quick dump off pass. I just don't see Toronto sticking with the Als, even if they are at home.

GL

YTD: 8-8, -0.87 units
 

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looks good PTB... good luck...
Do you have any news about Calvillo's finger.
Ive heard two sepearate things...diametrically opposed.
You have anything reliable?
 

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He seems probable for the game, and obviously my bet was made thinking he'd play. I've read that there was no ligament damage, so he should be okay.
 

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Good luck PTB - I think that teaser is sweet. I agree with your write up, on the Al's Toronto maybe the 4th best team in the league, but the difference between the first 3 and the 4th is double digits IMO.


GL


Powerz
 

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Adding one more unit to the teaser. Maybe it's Geroy's twitter confidence, maybe it's the fact that an already crappy Sasky secondary is missing two cornerbacks, maybe it's the two new starters on the BC OL, or maybe it's that I really feel a sense of urgency on the part of the Lions.
 

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6pt Teaser: Cleveland Browns +8.5 & Montreal Alouettes -1.5 (-110) -- 0.5 units: One more teaser, just because I really think the Alouettes win this game strait up, but don't trust the spread enough to put another unit on them at -7.5. I like the rotation the Browns will use at QB, with two experienced players and one top prospect. Conversely, the Packers are so worried about injuries that you can probably expect Rogers to be out after no more than 2 series'. The Packers are only worried about injuries, while the Browns (7-1 SU in last two years) are trying to get something going moving towards the start of the season. How about Graham Harrell... not good enough to hold a clipboard in Saskatchewan, but good enough to possibly be the #3 in Green Bay?

GL

YTD: 8-9, -3.07 units
 

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